000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081525
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION    
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED NOV 08 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN E NEAR 12.7N 104.5W 1007 MB AT 0900 
UTC NOV 08 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 
MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP4/WTPZ24 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. NUMEROUS STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100 NM OF THE POINT 13.8N103.4W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
NONE.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG 7N77W 6N90W 11N105W 7N115W 7N140W. WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT AREAS OF CONVECTION NOTED.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS BETWEEN ABOUT 22N TO 27N. NO WEATHER OR 
CLOUDS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SYSTEM.

MIDDLE LEVEL TROUGH RUNS FROM CENTRAL MEXICO WEST SOUTHWEST TO 
BEYOND 10N140W.  A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LOCATED JUST WEST OF 
THE AREA AND IS CAUSING MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS OVER THE AREA FROM 
THE ITCZ NORTH TO NEAR 21N WEST OF 132W.  NO SHOWERS OR 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN THIS AREA WITH ONLY A FEW IN THE ITCZ 
WEST OF 137W.

OTHERWISE THE AREA IS COVERED BY BROAD RIDGE.  DRY AIR IN THE 
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IS FOUND NORTH OF 20N EAST OF 130W AND 
NORTH OF 25N W OF 130W.  DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WITH MULTI LEVEL 
CLOUDS ARE FOUND NORTH OF THE ITCZ EAST OF A LINE 20N105W TO THE 
ITCZ NEAR 127W.

AT THE SURFACE MODERATE RIDGE IS NORTH OF THE ITCZ WEST OF 
112W.  BROAD TROUGH IS ELSEWHERE EXCEPT FOR THE TROPICAL 
DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E.

$$
LL