000 AXPZ20 KNHC 061015 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC MON NOV 06 2006 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0915 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 91W N OF 2N MOVING W 10 KT. CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W. TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 104W FROM 2N TO 15N MOVING W 10-15 KT. CONVECTION IS CONFINED TO THE ITCZ WITH SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS CENTERED ALONG 9N84W 11N91W 8N97W 9N105W 8N110W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 91W AND 110W...AND FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 99W AND 103W. ...DISCUSSION... AT THE SURFACE... GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS ARE BELOW GALE FORCE BUT STILL VERY STRONG. 20-25 KT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH 48 HRS. GULF OF PAPAGAYO WINDS ARE E OF 90W. 20 KT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH 48 HRS. IN BETWEEN THE TWO TROPICAL WAVES AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 10N98W. A SURFACE LOW IS ABOUT TO FORM AND SHOULD MOVE SLOWLY W AND DEEPEN. CROSS EQUATORIAL WINDS AND SWELL NOTED S OF 7N FROM 93W TO 110W. TRADES CONTINUE FROM 8N TO 22N W OF 120W AS 1027 MB HIGH PRES CENTER REMAINS N OF AREA. TRADES ARE ALSO INCREASING FLOW ALONG CALIFORNIA COASTS PRODUCING SWELLS MOVING N OF 26N BETWEEN 120W AND 127W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 21N136W. CYCLONIC FLOW IS FROM 15N TO 32N BETWEEN 130W AND 145W. FURTHER E...RIDGING IS PRODUCING SWLY UPPER LEVEL FLOW N OF 15N AND E OF 115W. ITCZ HAS BECOME MORE ACTIVE WITH DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT BETWEEN 85W AND 115W. UPPER RIDGE OVER CARIBBEAN BASIN IS ALSO PRODUCING AIRFLOW ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA INTO E PAC FORECAST WATERS. $$ FORMOSA