000
AXPZ20 KNHC 300350
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON OCT 30 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 5N ACROSS WESTERN PANAMA IS MOVING 
W 10 TO 15 KT. THE WAVE IS WEAK AND THERE IS MINIMAL CONVECTION 
ASSOCIATED WITH IT.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N78W 9N95W 10N110W 8N125W 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 
A 60 NM RADIUS OF 7.5N106W. 

...DISCUSSION...

A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE AREA N OF 24N E OF 125W 
INTO N MEXICO WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 120W. THE TROUGH IS MOVING E 
ABOUT 25 KNOTS. TO THE WEST AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE HAS ITS AXIS 
ALONG 136W N OF 22N. A STRONG JET HAS ITS AXIS EXTENDING THROUGH 
26N140W TO 29N133W AND THEN DIPS SE TO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH 
NEAR 24N120W AND THEN TURNS NE ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF OF 
CALIFORNIA. THE JET IS STRONGEST W OF 130W WITH WINDS IN THE 80 
TO 90 KNOT RANGE BASED ON SATELLITE DERIVED CLOUD DRIFT WINDS. 

FURTHER SOUTH A BROAD AREA OF CYCLONIC TURNING ALOFT COVERS THE 
DEEP TROPICS S OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W. NORTHEASTERLY FLOW 
AT THE UPPER LEVELS COVERS THE FAR SE PART OF THE DISCUSSION 
AREA.

A GALE WARNING CONTINUES OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND 
SURROUNDING WATERS WITH WINDS AT 30 TO 35 KNOTS AND SEAS 10 TO 
14 FEET. WINDS SHOULD LOWER TO BELOW GALE FORCE IN 12 TO 18 
HOURS.

$$
CAB