000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290330
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SUN OCT 29 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N77W 7N93W 12N110W 10N125W 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N 
TO 7N E OF 96W. 

...DISCUSSION...

A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE AREA ROUGHLY N OF 28N 
BETWEEN 120W AND 138W WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 130W...MOVING E 20 TO 
25 KT. A VERY LARGE AREA OF SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COVERS THE 
AREA WITHIN 350 NM EITHER SIDE OF A 27N110W 20N140W LINE. THE 
STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED E OF 125W WITH CLOUD DRIFT WINDS 
INDICATING SPEEDS IN THE 80 TO 90 KNOT RANGE. FURTHER S OVER 
THE DEEP TROPICS NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT COVER THE AREA S OF 
ABOUT 12N W OF 110W. OVER THE SE PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA 
MOSTLY LIGHT E TO NE WINDS ARE AT THE MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVELS.

AT THE SURFACE A GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE EVENT IS OCCURRING 
WITH WINDS IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOT RANGE WITH SEAS AS HIGH AS 16 
FEET. A SHIP REPORT AT 03Z HAS N WINDS OF 45 KNOTS NEAR 15N95W. 
WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO BELOW GALE FORCE IN 30 HOURS.

$$
CAB