000
AXPZ20 KNHC 282126
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SAT OCT 28 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 9N83W 8N95W 13N108W 10N125W 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N 
TO 8N E OF 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED FROM 4N 
TO 8N W OF 136W.

...DISCUSSION...

A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH COVERS THE AREA ROUGHLY N OF 27N W 
OF 128W WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 133W. A VERY LARGE AREA OF 
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT COVERS THE AREA WITHIN 350 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF A 27N110W 20N140W LINE. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED 
OVER N CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA AND CONTINUING WESTWARD TO 125W. 
CLOUD DRIFT WINDS ARE IN THE 80 TO 90 KNOT RANGE ALONG THIS 
BAND. FURTHER S OVER THE DEEP TROPICS NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ALOFT 
COVER THE AREA S OF ABOUT 12N W OF 110W. OVER THE SE PART OF THE 
DISCUSSION AREA LIGHT E TO NE WINDS ARE AT THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 
LEVELS.

AT THE SURFACE A GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC GALE EVENT IS OCCURRING 
WITH WINDS IN THE 35 TO 45 KNOT RANGE. A SHIP REPORT AT 18Z HAS 
NE WINDS OF 40 KNOTS NEAR 14N94.5W. WINDS WILL WEAKEN TO BELOW 
GALE FORCE IN 36 HOURS.

$$
CAB