000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020247
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON OCT 02 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

ITCZ...

AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 7N77W 10N100W 8N120W 8N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION 90 NM WIDE FROM 90W TO 98W. 

TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ALONG 100W S OF 15N INTO MEXICO IS MOVING 
W 5 KT.
...DISCUSSION...

TROUGH AND RIDGE ALOFT DOMINATES THE FLOW OVER THE N PART OF THE 
AREA. TROUGH AXIS IS ALONG 137W AND IS DIGGING SOUTH 
SOUTHEASTWARD WHILE THE RIDGE AXIS IS LOCATED ALONG 122W AND 
CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY WELL BEYOND 32N. BROKEN MIDDLE TO UPPER 
LEVEL CLOUDS ARE LOCATED W OF THE RIDGE AXIS TO 130W N OF ABOUT 
25N. A SHARP TROUGH AXIS IS LOCATED OVER NW MEXICO ALONG 108W N 
OF 20N. AN EAST-WEST ORIENTED RIDGE ALOFT IS ANCHORED OVER THE 
AREA FROM 8N TO 18N W OF 110W WITH ITS AXIS ALONG 16N. WATER 
VAPOR IMAGERY INDICATES STRONG SUBSIDENCE OVER MOST OF THIS 
AREA. BROAD RIDGING ALOFT ALSO COVERS THE AREA OFF OF THE W 
COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA. NORTHERLY WINDS IN THE 20 TO 25 KNOT 
RANGE ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST OVER THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC FOR 
THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

$$
TORRES SUAREZ