000
AXPZ20 KNHC 202046
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED SEP 20 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2015 UTC.

...ITCZ...
AXIS ALONG 8N78W 12N95W 8N106W 9N120W 6N140W. PATCHES OF 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE AXIS FROM 83W 
TO 99W.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE 132W S OF 17N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. NO SSIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.

TROPICAL LOWS...

 A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 16N1204W IS MOVING W 10 KT. SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS ARE WITHIN 150 NM OF THE CENTER. THE SYSTEM SI 
 DISORGANIZED.  HOWEVER...SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM 
IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. 

A 1014 MB LOW...REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION MIRIAM IS 
LOCATED ABOUT 275 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF 
BAJA CALIFORNIA.    

...DISCUSSION...

A MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N120W TO A CYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION NEAR 27N130W THEN S TO 18N131W.  STRONG UPPER WINDS 
AND DRY AIR ARE WITHIN 200 NM  ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE 
TROUGH  ANOTHER TROUGH IS BROAD UPPER RIDGE ALONG CENTRAL MEXICO 
DOMINATES THE REST OF THE AREA E OF 120W. EXTENSIVE TROPICAL 
MOISTURE IS S OF 28N E OF 130W MOVING INTO MEXICO AND THE SW U.  
 S.

$$
TORRES SUAREZ