000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120910
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS 
TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
MIAMI FL 2205 UTC MON SEP 11 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 6N ALONG 90W MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH WAVE FROM 8N-13N BETWEEN 95W-100W. 

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS 7N78W 13N95W 12N105W 13N110W 
8N125W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF AXIS E OF 84W AND WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS FROM 100W TO 
112W AND 150 NM N OF AXIS FROM 115W TO 120W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM S OF OF AXIS FROM 122W TO 130W.

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING NW CORNER OF DISCUSSION AREA 
BUT STRONG ANTICYCLONE E OF THE TROUGH IS BLOCKING ANY EWD 
MOVEMENT. THE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 19N132W.
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 15N140W THROUGH THE ANTICYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION TO 32N123W. SUBSIDENCE WITH DRY AIR AT THE MID AND 
UPPER LEVELS COVERS THE AREA N OF 18N W OF 110W. UPPER LEVEL 
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED IN SW ARIZONA WITH TROUGH S 
ACROSS THE NORTHERN SEA OF CORTEZ TO THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 
26N112W. ANOTHER ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER 
MEXICO NEAR 96N102W.

A 1011 MB LOW PRES...THE REMNANTS OF KRISTY...IS LOCATED NEAR 
10N136W DRIFTING TO THE SW. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 134W-139W. ANOTHER LOW PRES
IS ANALYZED NEAR 12N115W MOVING W 10 KT. THE LOW IS LIKELY 
ENHANCING ITCZ CONVECTION DESCRIBED ABOVE. OTHERWISE SURFACE 
RIDGE COVERS THE AREA N OF 15N W OF 115W.

$$
DGS