000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080955
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC FRI SEP 8 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0800 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
LOW PRESSURE REMNANTS OF KRISTY NEAR 15N132W 1009 MOVING SLOWLY 
SW. SMALL BURSTS OF CONVECTION ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE CENTER BUT 
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED. SEE FINAL NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AT THIS TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS OCCURRING ALONG AND WITH 
90 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS BETWEEN 4N AND 15N.

...ITCZ AXIS 8N80W 6N90W 8N105W 12N115W 9N130W 9N140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS FROM 
85W TO 110W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 118W TO 130W. 
ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 45 NM OF 15N132W 
AND 60 NM OF 9N139W.

...DISCUSSION...
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS NORTH OF 25N. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS 
MODERATELY DRY UPPER LEVEL AIR AND WIDESPREAD SUBSIDENCE N OF 
21N E OF 130W FROM AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 26N122W. AN 
UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED NEAR 19N135W IS ADVECTING MID-LEVEL 
MOISTURE NORTHWARD AROUND THE SW PERIPHERY OF THE ANTICYCLONE.

IN ADDITION TO THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE ITCZ S OF 15N... 
ABUNDANT UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE DOMINATES THE TROPICAL EPAC E OF 
110W. PREVIOUS STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST IS NOW 
NEARLY NON-EXISTENT EXCEPT FOR THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 89W.
 
$$
MUNDELL