000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070949
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU SEP 7 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY LOCATED NEAR 16.5N 129.6W AT 07/0900 
UTC MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 25 
KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 
1008 MB. SMALL BURSTS OF CONVECTION ARE OCCURRING NEAR THE 
CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 
HOURS AS KRISTY TRACKS W UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...TROPICAL WAVES...
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 83W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITH NO APPARENT ORGANIZATION OCCURRING W 
AND SE OF THE WAVE.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 9N84W 13N104W 11N116W 
12N125W 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 100 NM OF 10N116W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 
90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 97W...AND W OF 122W.

...DISCUSSION...
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IS NORTH OF 25N. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THE 
AREA TO BE DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS.  
IN THE LOWER LEVELS OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS IS EVIDENT W OF 120W.

A BROAD MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS FOUND SOUTH OF 25N. WEST OF 113W 
OUTSIDE OF KRISTY THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS ARE CLOUD FREE 
FROM 25N TO NEAR 14N WHERE THE ITCZ CLOUDS BEGIN. EAST OF 112W 
AREAS OF MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS ARE OBSERVED WITH EMBEDDED SMALL 
AREAS OF CONVECTION.
 
PATCHES OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ARE OBSERVED ALONG THE 
MEXICAN COAST NEAR 88W AND 101W.
 
$$
MUNDELL