000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061519
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED SEP 06 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 126.9W AT 06/1500 
UTC MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 
35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 
1005 MB. CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER HAS DECREASED IN INTENSITY 
AND COVERAGE...AN INDICATION THAT STABLE AIR AROUND THE STORM IS 
BEING ENTRAINED INTO THE CIRCULATION. LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY 
IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS KRISTY TRACKS W UNDER AN 
UPPER RIDGE. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP2/WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...TROPICAL WAVES...
.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 3N MOVE WEST 12 KT.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS NOTED EAST OF THE 
WAVE.  THIS CONVECTION MAY BE RELATED TO THE TYPICAL DIURNAL 
CYCLE IN THIS AREA AS MUCH AS TO THE TROPICAL WAVE.  NO 
ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION IS NOTED.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...4N77W 9N105W 6N120W 6N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 
NM OF 7.1N79.3W AND 7.1N82.7W AND WITHIN 90 NM OF 9.9N91.4W AND 
WITHIN 75 NM OF 6.1N118W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF 8.8N128.8W AND  
11.5N134.5W AND 12N139.6W.

...DISCUSSION...
RIDGE IS NORTH OF 25N.  THE AREA IS OBSERVED TO BE DRY AND CLOUD 
FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS.  IN THE LOWER LEVELS 
OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS IS OBSERVED WEST OF 120W.  

SOUTH OF 25N A BROAD TROUGH IS OBSERVED.  WEST OF 112W OUTSIDE 
OF KRISTY THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS ARE CLOUD FREE FROM 25N TO 
NEAR 12N WHERE THE ITCZ CLOUDS BEGIN.   EAST OF 112W AREAS OF 
MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS ARE OBSERVED WITH EMBEDDED SMALL AREAS OF 
CONVECTION.      
 
MODERATE RIDGE IS NORTH OF 22N WEST OF 117W.  ELSEWHERE BROAD 
TROUGH IS ANALYZED.
 
$$
LL