000
AXPZ20 KNHC 281656 CCA
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC MON AUG 28 2006

...CORRECTION FOR AWIPS BIN NUMBER IN SPECIAL FEATURE SECTION...

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1530 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.2N 95.7W AT 
28/1500 UTC MOVING NW AT 8 KT.  ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL 
PRESSURE IS 1004 MB.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 30 KT WITH 
GUSTS TO 40 KT.  SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER 
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS.  
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE 
COAST OF S MEXICO FROM 10N-15N BETWEEN 94W-99W...AND FROM 
13N-16N BETWEEN 99W-104W.   

1010 MB LOW IS NEAR 24N123W MOVING W 7 KT. THIS SYSTEM IS THE 
REMNANT OF ILEANA AND IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST AND 
GRADUALLY DISSIPATE.  NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED. 

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 117W FROM 5N-18N MOVING W 10 KT.  A 1010 
MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 13N117W.  CLUSTERS OF 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS E OF THE WAVE AXIS 
FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 111W-116W.  ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS 
NEAR THE LOW CENTER FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 116W-119W.  

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...9N76W 10N86W 13N95W 11N100W 
10N120W 12N127W 9N140W.  SEE CONVECTION MENTIONED IN THE SPECIAL 
FEATURE... AND TROPICAL WAVE SECTIONS.  IN ADDITION... WIDELY  
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 9N-12N BETWEEN 105W-107W 
...FROM 8N-11N BETWEEN 110W-113W... AND FROM 10N-13N BETWEEN 
124W-130W.   

...DISCUSSION...

THE EASTERLIES HAVE BECOME A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE WITH THREE 
SYSTEMS NOTED...NAMELY T.D. ELEVEN-E...THE TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 
117W...AND A PATCH OF CONVECTION ON THE ITCZ NEAR 12N127W THAT 
SHOWS SIGNS OF CYCLONIC TURNING.  FURTHER NORTH... AN AREA OF 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 
PUERTO VALLARTA FROM 18N-23N BETWEEN 104W-108W.  FINALLY... 
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA FROM 
25N-28N BETWEEN 109W-111W.   

IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICS...THE REMNANT LOW OF ILEANA IS 
NEAR 24N123W.  CYCLONIC TURNING IS STILL NOTED.  SCATTERED 
SHOWERS ARE N OF THE CENTER FROM 24N-30N BETWEEN 123W-129W.  A 
1027 MB HIGH IS NW OF THE AREA NEAR 38N145W PRODUCING TYPICAL NW 
SURFACE FLOW IN OUR AREA N OF 20N AND W OF 128W.  

TH THE UPPER LEVELS... EASTERLIES ARE FROM THE EQUATOR TO 15N 
BETWEEN 77W-140W.  AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH IS OVER BAJA CALIFORNIA 
NEAR 29N115W.  ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS N OF 20N BETWEEN 105W-125W.  
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS FURTHER W...N OF 20N BETWEEN 
125W-140W.       

$$
FORMOSA