000
AXPZ20 KNHC 280316
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON AUG 28 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
LOW 24N122W 1007 MB MOVE W 7 KT.  THIS SYSTEM IS THE REMNANT OF 
ILEANA.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST AND WEAKEN.  
SCATTERED SHALLOW CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM MOSTLY OVER 
THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT.  WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KT 
WITHIN 200 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 11 FT.

LOW 12N95W MOVE W AT 10 KT ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 
95W N OF 5N.  CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN COVERAGE WITH AN AREA 
OF SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 100 
NM OF THE CENTER MAINLY OVER THE S SEMICIRCLE.  THIS SYSTEM MAY 
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W FROM 5N TO 18N MOVING W 10 KT.  AN 
AREA OF SCATTERED TO STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS 
SYSTEM WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 15N112W.  NO ORGANIZATION 
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...7N78W 11N105W 12N125W 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM 
OF THE POINT 11.4N95.2W AND THE POINT 12.4N99.4W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IN THE AREA FROM 9.8N TO 11.6N 
FROM 101W TO 105.5W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 15.4N112.7W.

...DISCUSSION...

EXCEPT FOR AN AREA 280 NM IN DIAMETER CENTERED 28N124W 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ILEANA THE AREA NORTHWEST OF A 
LINE 32N104W TO THE ITCZ NEAR 135W IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE 
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IMPLYING UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE.  THE 
AREA IS ALSO WEAKLY CYCLONIC.  SCATTERED TO BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS 
CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 20N WEST OF 120W.

SOUTHWEST OF THE ABOVE LINE THE AREA IS MOIST IN THE MIDDLE AND 
UPPER LEVEL WITH MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF 
CONVECTION.  THE FLOW IS WEAKLY ANTICYCLONIC.

WEAK SURFACE RIDGE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 128W.  ELSEWHERE BROAD 
TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT THE SURFACE.

$$
LL