000
AXPZ20 KNHC 272121
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN AUG 27 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...
LOW 24N121W 1004 MB MOVE W 7 KT.  THIS SYSTEM IS THE REMNANT OF 
ILEANA.  THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WEST AND WEAKEN.  
SCATTERED SHALLOW CONVECTION IS NOTED WITHIN 120 NM MOSTLY OVER 
THE NORTHWEST QUADRANT.  WINDS ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KT 
WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.

LOW 11N94W MOVE W AT 10 KT ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 
94W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WEST 
OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N TO 15N.  THIS SYSTEM MAY BECOME A 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W FROM 3N TO 18N MOVING W 10 KT.  TWO 
AREAS OF SCATTERED TO MODERATE CONVECTION ARE ASSOCIATED WITH 
THIS SYSTEM WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINTS 14.7N11W AND ALSO 
14.5N115W.  NO ORGANIZATION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS CONVECTION.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...6N77W 11N105W 12N130W 8N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 
NM OF THE POINT 7.6N84.7W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 12.8N96W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF THE 
FOLLOWING POINTS 11.4N100W AND 10.3N102.6W AND 12.3N103.7W AND 
14.7N111W AND 14.5N115W.

...DISCUSSION...

EXCEPT FOR AN AREA 300 NM IN DIAMETER CENTERED 27N123W 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF ILEANA THE AREA NORTHWEST OF A 
LINE 32N104W TO THE ITCZ NEAR 135W IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE 
MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IMPLYING UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE.  THE 
AREA IS ALSO WEAKLY CYCLONIC.

SOUTHWEST OF THE ABOVE LINE THE AREA IS MOIST IN THE MIDDLE AND 
UPPER LEVEL WITH MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF 
CONVECTION.

WEAK SURFACE RIDGE NORTH OF 18N WEST OF 130W.  ELSEWHERE BROAD 
TROUGH IS ANALYZED AT THE SURFACE.

$$
LL