000 AXPZ20 KNHC 030929 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC THU AUG 03 2006 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0845 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 15.4N 108.4W 1006 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03 MOVING WNW OR 255 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. GILMA IS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION WITH AN ISOLATED TSTM WITHIN 25 NM OF IT'S SW QUADRANT. ANOTHER ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS LOCATED ABOUT 90 NM N OF THE CENTER. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/ WTPZ22 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO NEAR 15.2N 135.8W 1008 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 03 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 15 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. FABIO'S CIRCULATION IS EVIDENT IN THE LATEST INFARED IMAGERY. AN ISOLATED MODERATE TSTM IS LOCATED ABOUT 90 NM NW OF THE CENTER. ONLY LOW CLOUDS ARE CIRCULATING ABOUT FABIO AT THIS TIME. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 101W MOVING W 15 KT. ISOLATED CONVECTION ALONG THE WAVE AXIS BUT NO ORGANIZATION. ...ITCZ... ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 10N79W 14N107W 12N118W 11N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 6N78W 3N79W 6N85W AND 6N99W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE COAST NEAR 10N87W TO 14N91W AND NEAR 15N94W AND 18N103W. ...DISCUSSION... LARGE MID LEVEL RIDGES WERE LOCATED JUST W OF THE REGION NEAR 30N145W AND E OF THE REGION OVER THE N GULF OF MEXICO COAST. IN BETWEEN WAS A MID LEVEL TROUGH ALONG 120W. ON THE SURFACE TONIGHT THE PACIFIC RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE AXIS EXTENDED FROM 30N135W SE TO 15N110W. T.D. FABIO NEAR 15N135W MOVING W WAS TIGHTENING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AGAINST THE RIDGE PRODUCING STRONG NE WINDS FROM 15N TO 24N W OF 130W. SSMI SHOWED NW WINDS ALONG THE UPPER BAJA COAST TONIGHT TO 20 KT. LATER DAY 1 LITTLE CHANGE TO THE MID LEVEL PATTERN EXCEPT FOR THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH STRENGTHENING AS A NEW IMPULSE DROPS S OVER THE WRN RIDGE. BRISK NE WINDS WILL CONTINUE DAY 1 BETWEEN 16N AND 23N W OF 130W. WINDS ALONG THE BAJA COAST SHOULD DECREASE SOME TO 10 TO 15 KT. FOR DAY 2 WHILE THE MID LEVEL RIDGE TO THE W OF THE REGION RECEDES WWD..THE ERN RIDGE SHIFTS WWD TO TX. THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH ALONG 120W AMPLIFIES TO A CLOSED VORTEX N OF THE REGION NEAR 36N126W WHILE STILL MAINTAINING A TROUGH AXIS S TO 23N127W. ON THE SURFACE DAY 2 THE MID PACIFIC RIDGE BACKS OFF SOME BUT NE TRADES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG BETWEEN 15N AND 22N W OF 130W. BAJA WINDS REMAIN LIGHT WHILE CROSS EQUATORIAL SE WINDS INCREASE TO 20 KT S OF 5N W OF 105W. $$ RRG