000
AXPZ20 KNHC 022055
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED AUG 02 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2045 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

.TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 15.1N 132.6W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
02 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP2/ WTPZ22 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS. 
 
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 15.0N 107.2W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC 
AUG 02 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
 SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP3/ WTPZ23 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W MOVING W 15 KT. ONLY SCATTERED MODERATE 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM EAST OF THE WAVE ALONG THE ITCZ FROM 
3N-6N.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG 4N77W 13N100W 13N120W 11N140W.
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION 180NM WIDE FROM 77W TO 88W. 
ISOLATED/NON SIGNIFICANT ELSEWHERE.

...DISCUSSION...
A MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N124W TO 24N131W. A LARGE 
UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED FAR TO THE SOUTH 
NEAR 2N135W AND STRONG EASTERLIES CONTINUE BETWEEN IT AND THE 
RIDGE ..AN UPPER RIDGE AXIS EXTENDS FROM NORTHWEST MEXICO 
SOUTHWEST TO 17N122W AND IS ALSO BOUNDED TO ITS SOUTH WITH 
STRONG UPPER LEVEL EASTERLIES. THESE WINDS ARE ADVECTING AMPLE 
HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE WESTWARD FROM MEXICO AND THE TROPICAL BELT. 
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY 
DESCRIBED ABOVE UNDER ITCZ. A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA NEAR 
15N107W HAS SCATTERED CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER.
  
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TOREES