000
AXPZ20 KNHC 012113
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
.TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 15.0N 127.3W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
01 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.

.TROPICAL STORM GILMA NEAR 14.4N 105.6W 1005 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 
01 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 6N IS MOVING W 10 KT. NO SIGNIFICANT
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...10N78W 9N88W 12N100W 10N110W 
10N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
A MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE AREA NORTH OF 
15N WITH AN ANTICYCLONE CENTERED NEAR 25N1343W AND ANOTHER 
CENTER OVER EXTREME NRN MEXICO. AN UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS IS 
INDICATED BETWEEN THE TWO ANTICYCLONES WITH AXIS N OF 25N ALONG 
125W. MODERATE EASTERLY FLOW PREVAILS S OF THE RIDGE AXIS E OF 
110W AND IS PROVIDING EASTERLY SHEAR OVER TROPICAL STORM GILMA. 
THIS EASTERLY FLOW RELAXES SOMEWHAT W OF 110W AND AS SUCH 
TROPICAL STORM FABIO IS SITUATED IN A MORE FAVORABLE 
ENVIRONMENT. MODERATE SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE DEEP TROPICS S OF 
10N W OF 120W. 
    
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TORRESL