000
AXPZ20 KNHC 312044
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JUL 31 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN E NEAR 14.2N 122.0W 1009 MB AT 2100
UTC JUL 31 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100 NM 
OVER THE N SEMICIRCLE. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.5N 126.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEE NHC 
ADVISORIES FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 85W N OF 5N IS MOVING W 10 KT. THE ONLY 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS OVER CENTRAL AMERICA.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 4N IS MOVING W ABOUT 10 KT.  
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 30 NM OF THE AXIS 
BETWEEN 11N AND 14N...DECREASING WITH TIME.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 107W FROM 3N TO 17N IS MOVING W 12 KT. A LOW 
IS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N103W MOVING W 10 KT.  THE LOW IS 
SEPARATING FROM THE WAVE AS THE WAVE MOVES FASTER WESTWARD.  AN 
AREA OF STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OVER THE W 
SEMICIRCLE.


.ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...6N77W 9N110W 7N120W 6N140W. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVELS...
A MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS ACROSS THE AREA NORTH OF 
15N. A LRGE AREA OF SUBSIDING DRY AIR ACCOMPANIES THE RIDGE.
A BROAD TROUGH IS OVER THE AREA SOUTH OF 15N.  

AT THE SURFACE WEAK RIDGE IS NORTH OF 20N.  EXCEPT FOR THE TWO 
EMBEDDED LOWS THE AREA SOUTH OF 16N IS ANALYZED AS A BROAD 
TROUGH AT THE SURFACE.

$$
FERNANDO TORRES