000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290951
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SAT JUL 29 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 
600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO NEAR 13N111W. SLOW 
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10-15 MPH.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 5N ALONG 81W IS MOVING W 15-20 KT. ISOLATED 
MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE S COAST OF PANAMA.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 96W IS MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED 
STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE S MEXICO COAST BETWEEN 94W AND 99W.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 4N ALONG 111W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 14N112W.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 5N RELOCATED BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY ALONG 
136W IS MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 
NM OF AXIS.

..ITCZ...

AXIS 10N85W 10N105W 13N120W 13N135W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM FROM 10.5N87W TO 15.5N96W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 
14.5N112W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 
85W AND 94W.

...DISCUSSION...

MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32N125W AND 
EXETNDS SW TO 25N135W. UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR 24N142W IS MOVING W 
OUT OF THE AREA. THE FLOW E OF THE UPPER LOW IS GENERALLY E-SE 
ACROSS THIS AREA WITH MODERATE SUBSIDENCE AND DRY AIR. WEAKENING
MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS NEAR 26N123W MOVING W 15-20 KT. MID/UPPER 
LEVEL RIDGE IS N OF 18N BETWEEN 114W-121W.  UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE 
IS BEING TRANSPORTED WESTWARD WITH THIS NE FLOW MAINLY S OF 22N 
BETWEEN 120W-125W AND OVER ENTIRE AREA E OF 120W. 

$$
MUNDELL