000
AXPZ20 KNHC 290246
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 29 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IS CENTERED ABOUT 
600 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO.  SLOW 
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF 
DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 80W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG CENTRAL AMERICA.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 93W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED 
STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 45 NM OF 13N92W.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 110W IS MOVING W 10 KT.  ISOLATED 
CONVECTION IS  WITHIN 80 NM OF THE AXIS..

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 130W IS MOVING W 10-15 KT. NO 
SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

..ITCZ...
8N78W 9N95W 10N100W 13N110W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED 
STRONG 100 NM WIDE FROM 78W TO 100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG 120 NM WIDE FROM 110W TO 116W. SCATTERED MODERATE 60 NM 
WIDE 124W TO 140W.

...DISCUSSION...

WEST OF 125W

N OF 15N...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS INTO THE AREA THROUGH 32N125W AND 
EXETNDS SW TO 27N133W MID/UPPER LEVEL SHEAR AXIS/TROUGH EXTENDS 
FROM 32N139W SW TO 28N140W . UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC TURNING IS 
NOTED W OF 136W IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LARGE CYCLONIC VORTEX W OF 
THE AREA. THE FLOW IS GENERALLY E-SE ACROSS THIS AREA WITH 
ABUNDANT MODERATE AND DRY AIR. 
MID/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS NEAR 27N123W MOVING W 
15-20 KT. MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS  N OF 18N BETWEEN 114W-121W.  
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE IS BEING TRANSPORTED WESTWARD WITH THIS NE 
FLOW MAINLY S OF 24N BETWEEN 118W-125W AND OVER ENTIRE AREA E OF 
118W. 

$$
TORRES