000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260952
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED JUL 26 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 22.9N 111.0W 989 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
26 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO 
HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION HAS 
INCREASED AND IS NEARLY SYMMETRICAL AROUND THE CENTER. EMILIA 
CONTINUES TO MOVE NW AND WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES OVER COLDER 
WATERS. NUMEROUS MODERATE AND SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE CENTER.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 4N ALONG 78W MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 3N-9N BETWEEN 76W-80W.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 89W MOVING W 15 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ITCZ CONVECTION FROM 7N-10N BETWEEN 88W-92W.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W N OF 4N MOVING W 10-15 KT.

..ITCZ...
AXIS 9N80W 9N100W 13N115W 8N128W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF 10.5N103W.

...DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA IS SITUATED BETWEEN A WEAK UPPER LOW TO 
THE WEST CENTERED NEAR 22N118W AND AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE 
NEAR 22N105W. IN THIS LOW SHEAR ENVIRONMENT DEEP CONVECTION HAS 
INCREASED NEAR THE CYCLONE CENTER DESPITE MOVING POLEWARD INTO 
COOLER SST WATERS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS SE FROM A 
STRONG TUTT CELL CENTERED NEAR 32N148W TO 14N125W. THIS FEATURE 
IS PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG SUBSIDENCE N OF 12N W OF 120W. 
STRONG UPPER LEVEL EAST WINDS COVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE E 
PACIFIC S OF 17N E OF 120W. CONVECTION DEVELOPING NEAR THE ITCZ 
IS UNORGANIZED AND SHORT-LIVED DUE TO THIS STRONGLY SHEARED 
ENVIRONMENT.
 
$$
MUNDELL