000 AXPZ20 KNHC 251013 TWDEP TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1005 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS. BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 0930 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 19.8N 110.6W 995 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 25 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEE THE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTION IS PRIMARILY DISPLACED S OF THE CENTER. CONVECTIVE BANDS CONTINUE TO SPIRAL AROUND THE CENTER OF EMILIA BUT DEEP CONVECTION DOES NOT PERSIST IN THE N SEMICIRCLE. STRONG SUBSIDENCE IS EVIDENT NW OF THE CENTER...RESTRICTING UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW W OF BAJA CALIFORNIA. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF THE S SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 75 NM IN THE N SEMICIRCLE. ...TROPICAL WAVES... TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 105W N OF 9N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS ALONG THE W COAST OF MEXICO FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN 104W AND 106W. TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W N OF 6N MOVING W 10 KT. ..ITCZ... AXIS CENTERED ALONG...9N83W 12N103W 12N108W 10N115W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS. ...DISCUSSION... AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FROM 26N107N TO 11N118W. THE TROUGH IS BEING PINCHED BETWEEN A RIDGE OVER S UTAH AND ANOTHER IN S MEXICO. EXTENSIVE MOIST AIR EXISTS S OF 20N AND E OF 120W WITH MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF CONVECTION. $$ MUNDELL