000
AXPZ20 KNHC 250304
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 19.8N 110.6W 995 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
25 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 
SEE THE LATESTEST FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTIVE BANDS 
CONTINUE TO SPIRAL AROUND THE CENTER OF TOPICAL STROM EMILIA BUT 
HAVE DECREASED SOME AS COMPARED TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODERATE 
UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS OBSERVED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH LESSER AMOUNTS IN THE 
NE QUADRANT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY WELL EAST OF THE CENTER 
CONTINUES TO STRADDLE THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND 
MAZATLAN SO THE POSSIBILITY OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING EXISTS 
IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

HURRICANE DANIEL HAS MOVED W IOF THE AREA. SEE LATEST HONOLULU 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS HFOTCMCP1/WTPA21 PHFO 
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 103W N OF 9N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM W AND 100 
NM E OF THE WAVE N OF12N.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT.
..ITCZ...
ITCZ IS CENTERED ALONG...10N80W 10N95W 151N102W 10N1115 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 180 NM WIDE FROM95W TO 115W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N130W TO A CYCLONE AT 
18N126W. THE TROUGH IS IN THE MIDDLE OF TWO RIDGES AND IS NOT 
MOVING ATTM. AN CYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL BAJA PENINSULA IS 
MOVING RAPIDLY SW BRINGING UPPER MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. A 180 
NM WIDE AREAS OF SUBSIDENCE IS W OF THE TROUGH AXIS. THE AREA S 
OF 20N E OF 120W IS MOIST ALOFT WITH MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS AND 
EMBEDDED AREAS OF CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM 
ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION OFF THE W COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N102W 
THEN INTO THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 

$$
FETORRES