000
AXPZ20 KNHC 242102
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC MON JUL 24 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2030 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 19.2N 110.4W 997 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL
24 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEE LATEST NHC 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP1/ WTPZ21 KNHC 
FOR MORE DETAILS. CONVECTIVE BANDS CONTINUE TO SPIRAL AROUND THE 
CENTER OF TOPICAL STROM EMILIA BUT HAVE DECREASED SOME AS 
COMPARED TO THE PAST 24 HOURS. MODERATE UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW IS 
OBSERVED. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 
NM OF CENTER WITH LESSER AMOUNTS IN THE NE QUADRANT. SOME OF 
THIS ACTIVITY WELL EAST OF THE CENTER CONTINUES TO STRADDLE THE 
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN ACAPULCO AND MAZATLAN SO THE POSSIBILITY 
OF LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING EXISTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.

HURRICANE DANIEL HAS MOVED W IOF THE AREA. SEE LATEST HONOLULU 
FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS HFOTCMCP1/WTPA21 PHFO 
FOR MORE DETAILS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W N OF 9N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 180 NM W AND 100 
NM E OF THE WAVE N OF12N.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 79W N OF 8N MOVING W 10 KT.
..ITCZ...
ITCZ IS CENTERED ALONG...10N80W 10N95W 151N102W 10N1115 10N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 180 NM WIDE FROM95W TO 115W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH 32N130W TO A CYCLONE AT 
18N126W. THE TROUGH IS IN THE MIDDLE OF TWOO RIDGES AND IS NOT 
MOVING ATTM. AN CYCLONE OVER THE SEA OF CORTEZ IS MOVING RAPIDLY 
SW BRINGING UPPER MOISTURE INTO THE AREA. A 180 NM BAND OF 
SUBSIDENCE IS W OF THE TROUGH AXIS. THE AREA S OF 20N E OF 120W 
IS MOIST ALOFT WITH MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF 
CONVECTION. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM ANTICYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION OFF THE W COAST OF MEXICO NEAR 16N102W THEN INTO THE 
BAY OF CAMPECHE. 

$$
ENVERTORRES