000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220659 RRA
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0315 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...
MAJOR HURRICANE DANIEL IS CENTERED NEAR 13.6N 128.5W...OR ABOUT 
1320 NM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE BAJA PENINSULA...AT 
22/0300 UTC MOVING W 10 FT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED IS 130 
KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 
933 MB. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS 
MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. DANIEL HAS ABOUT A 30 NM 
EYE WITH SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 90 NM EASTERN 
SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM WESTERN SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E IS CENTERED NEAR 13.4N 103.5W OR 440 
NM SSW OF ACAPULCO MEXICO...AT 22/0300 UTC MOVING NNW AT 6 KT. 
AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONE IS LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO NEAR
19N105W...AND IS PROVIDING UPPER LEVEL WINDS THAT ARE INTRUDING
INTO THE DEPRESSION AS NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR. AS A RESULT...THE 
CENTER REMAINS EXPOSED ON THE NORTHEAST SIDE OF THE CONVECTION. 
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER OVER
W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. 

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 92W N OF 8N IS MOVING W ABOUT 12 KT. 
ASSOCIATED CONVECTION IS ALONG THE ITCZ AS DESCRIBED BELOW UNDER 
ITCZ.

..ITCZ...
ITCZ IS CENTERED ALONG 8N75W 13N92W 15N101W 14N120W 8N130W
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
WITHIN 60 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 97W-100W AND 107W-110W.

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL CUT-OFF LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 20N137W AND IS 
DRIFTING WESTWARD. TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW SOUTHEAST TO 
11N136W WITH STRONG SUBSIDENCE OCCURRING FROM 10N-25N WEST OF 
134W. TO THE E OF THE TROUGH...AN UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC 
CIRCULATION IS CENTERED NEAR 19N126W. A MID/UPPER LOW MOVING 
WEST 15-20 KT IS CENTERED NEAR 18N116W. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL HIGH 
IS CENTERED OVER MEXICO NEAR 19N105W. THE HIGH IS PROVIDING 
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE THAT IS SUPPORTING STRONG POCKETS OF
TSTMS ALONG THE CENTRAL AMERICAN AND MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 
86W-101W. THE HIGH IS ALSO PRODUCING RATHER STRONG EASTERLY 
WINDS OVER THE AREA EAST OF 103W. AN ABUNDANCE OF UPPER LEVEL 
DEBRIS CLOUDINESS FROM CONVECTION OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND THE 
WATERS NEAR THE MEXICAN IS BEING ADVECTED WESTWARD UNDER THESE 
EASTERLY WINDS.

$$
AGUIRRE