000
AXPZ20 KNHC 200258
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU JUL 20 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0230 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 12.0N 121.0W 962 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 20 
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 
115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEE LATEST NHC FORECAST/ADVISORY UNDER 
AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/ WTPZ25 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. 
NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER AND ELSEWHERE 
NUMEROUS MODERATE WITH SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER.

A 1008 MB LOW IS CENTERED NEAR 10N104W IS DRIFTING SLOWLY W.
THE CENTER CNTINUES TO DEVELOP SLOWLY. A SECOND LOW WILL FORM 
JUST TO THE E OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HRS ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER 
TROPICAL WAVE. THIS LOW WOULD LIKELY BECOME THE DOMINANT 
CIRCULATION WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W N OF 5N MOVING W 15 KT. THE WAVE IS 
ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AND ELONGATED CIRCULATION CENTERED ALONG 
THE ITCZ. LOW PRES IS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE WAVE OVER THE 
NEXT 24-48 HRS.

..ITCZ...

ITCZ IS CENTERED ALONG...10N80W 14N97W 10N110W  12N130W 9N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 180 NM WIDE 80W TO 90W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 240 NM WIDE 95W TO 105W.
 
...DISCUSSION...

A LARGE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR NEAR 30N126W MOVING W 5-10 KT. 
HAS A DEEP TROUGH TO BEYOND 19N140W. A LARGE AREA OF 
STRONG SUBSIDENCE NORTH OF THE ITCZ W OF 130W N OF 25N AND W OF 
120W FROM 25N TO 18N AND W OF THE ITCZ S OF 18N. 
HURRICANE DANIEL CONTINUES TO DRAG A DEEP MOISTURE FIELD TO THE 
W. AN UPPER HIGH IS CENTERED NE OF THE HURRICANE NEAR 17N115W 
AND IS PRODUCING A FAVORABLE OUTFLOW JET OVER THE N PART OF THE 
SYSTEM. A NARROW UPPER TROUGH LIES ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 
GUADALAJARA TO EL SALVADOR AND IS PRODUCING W/NW FLOW N OF 10N 
AND NEAR THE COAST.

$$
FETORRES