000
AXPZ20 KNHC 170323
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC MON JUL 17 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 20.9N 123.5W 1010 MB AT 0300 
UTC JUL 17 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. NO CONVECTION IS LEFT.  A SWIRL OF LOW 
TO MIDDLE CLOUDS IS WITHIN 200 NM OVER THE W SEMICIRCLE AND 90 
NM OVER THE E SEMICIRCLE.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 12.4N 109.9W 1007 MB AT 0300 
UTC JUL 17 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 13 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER SCATTERED 
MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION. THE SYSTEM SHOWS SOME 
UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE AND IS EXPECTED TO BE A HURRICANE IN 48 
HOURS.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 93W NORTH OF 4N MOVE W 15 KT.  WIDELY 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS.  THERE ARE 
NO INDICATIONS OF ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION.

LOW PRES 10N99W 1009 MB MOVE W 10 KT.  CONVECTION IS WEAKENING 
AND ISOLATED AT THIS TIME.

..ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE IS ALONG THE LINE...5N77W 5N90W 
10N100W 10N110W 15N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 85W TO 
92W.

...DISCUSSION...
A MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS NORTH OF 20N EAST OF 125W.  
THERE IS A BROKEN PATCH OF MIDDLE AND UPPER CLOUDS OFF THE COAST 
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND AN ENHANCEMENT OF CONVECTION IN THE 
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN MEXICO.  OTHERWISE NO WEATHER ACCOMPANIES 
THIS SYSTEM.  

ELSEWHERE A WEAK RIDGE IS OVER THE AREA.

NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM 32N125W TO 20N120W TO THE ITCZ NEAR 
137W THE AREA IS DRY AND CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 
LEVELS.  SOUTHEAST OF THIS LINE THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS ARE 
MOIST WITH AREAS OF MULTI LEVEL CLOUDS AND EMBEDDED AREAS OF 
CONVECTION.

AT THE SURFACE WEAK RIDGE IS NORTH OF 25N WEST OF 120W.  
ELSEWHERE BROAD TROUGH IS ANALYZED.

$$
LL