000
AXPZ20 KNHC 072039
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI JUL 07 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 11N115W MOV W 10-15 KT. THE SYSTEM IS SLOWLY 
BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS LOCATED WITHIN 200 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL ALONG 91W  MOV W15-20 KT.. 

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 100W MOV W 15 KT.  

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS ALONG 8N77W 8N90W 8N100W 12N112W 9N120W 
8N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS FROM 
90W TO 110W AND 133W TO 135W. 

...DISCUSSION...
50-70 KT SUBTROPICAL JET LIES POLEWARD OF A RIDGE AXIS WHICH 
EXTENDS FROM THE BAJA PENINSULA TO 16N140W. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW  
IS LOCATED OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA NEAR 29N113W WITH A  
TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO THE ITCZ NEAR 13N120W. SUBSIDENCE AND DRY 
CONDITIONS ALOFT COVER A BROAD AREA 400-500 NM W OF THE UPPER 
TROUGH AXIS. MOIST SLY FLOW ALOFT AROUND THE E PERIPHERY OF THE 
UPPER LOW IS ADVECTING DEEP LEVEL MOISTURE NWD INTO W MEXICO. 

$$
TORRES