000
AXPZ20 KNHC 052126
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC WED JUL 05 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2100 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 77W N OF 7N IS MOVING W AT AN ESTIMATED 20 
KT. THE WAVE IS PRODUCING SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION OVER PANAMA. 

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 90W FROM 4N TO 12N IS MOVING W AT AN 
ESTIMATED 15 KT. THE WAVE IS WEAK AND DIFFICULT TO LOCATE ON THE 
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W FROM 5N TO 20N IS MOVING W AT AN 
ESTIMATED 12 KT. THIS WAVE IS ALSO WEAK WITH MAINLY ISOLATED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 8N TO 
12N.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 132W FROM 7N TO 14N IS MOVING W AT AN 
ESTIMATED 15 KT. THE WAVE IS CURRENTLY DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT 
CONVECTION.

..ITCZ...

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 9N78W 8N91W 7N100W 9N110W 
9N125W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS 
LOCATED WITHIN A 45 NM RADIUS OF 5N83.5W AND FROM 5N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 93W AND 99W. 

...DISCUSSION...

A MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH HAS BEEN ANCHORED OFF THE W COAST OF 
THE UNTIED STATES FOR SEVERAL DAYS WITH ITS SOUTHERN EXTENSION 
COVERING THE NW PART OF THE DISCUSSION AREA. A JET LOCATED 
THROUGH 21N140W TO 30N125W HAS WEAKENED OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS 
BUT IS STILL EASILY IDENTIFIABLE ON GOES-11 WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. 
MOVING DOWNSTREAM THE NEXT FEATURE OF PROMINENCE IS A RIDGE 
ALOFT WITH ITS AXIS EXTENDING FROM 32N122W TO 15N128W. AN 
ELONGATED MIDDLE/UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED 
OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA NEAR 25N111W AND IS NEARLY 
STATIONARY. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE CIRCULATION CENTER TO 
NEAR 12N118W. THIS FEATURE IS AIDING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED N OF 13N INTO MEXICO BETWEEN 102W AND 
107W. BROAD RIDGING ALOFT COVERS THE DEEP TROPICS E OF ABOUT 
100W.

$$
CAB