000
AXPZ20 KNHC 161525
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC FRI JUN 16 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE FROM 4N TO 14N ALONG 98W MOVING W 10 KT. AN AREA 
OF SCATTERED SHOWERS IS JUST E OF THE WAVE FROM 7N TO 10N 
BETWEEN 98W AND 100W.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W FROM 4N TO 14N MOVING W 10 KT. NO 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE.
 
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 124W FROM 4N TO 14N MOVING W 10 KT. ONLY 
ISOLATED CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ FROM  8N TO 10N BETWEEN 123W 
AND 126W.

..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS ALONG...8N78W 9N95W 8N120W 
6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 50 
NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS FROM 115W TO 121W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM N OF THE AXIS FROM 134W TO 138W. 

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS EXTENDING EASTWARD OVER THE AREA N OF 
24N. SKIES ARE CLEAR IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS....WITH BROKEN 
TO OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS CLOUDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS N OF 15N W 
OF 115W.

MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 22N107W TO 15N123W. ANOTHER
MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS OVER THE SW U.S. AND EXTENDS SWD 
INTO NORTHERN MEXICO. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS ACROSS CENTRAL AND 
SOUTHERN MEXICO S INTO HHONDURAS.

SURFACE RIDGE IS N OF 15N W OF 120W. A WEAK SURFACE LOW NEAR 
12N103W 1009 MB IS DRIFTING W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N98W TO 
12N104W. LITTLE ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION IS PRESENT.
  
$$
DGS