000
AXPZ20 KNHC 160313
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI JUN 16 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0300 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 7N MOVE W 10 KT.  NO CONVECTION IS 
ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W FROM 3N TO 13N MOVE W 12 KT.  WIDELY 
SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG ITCZ WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS.  NO 
ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 110W FROM 3N TO 13N MOVE W 10 KT.  AREA OF 
WEAKENING SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF 
8.8N109.3W.  NO ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION IS NOTED.
 
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 122W FROM 4N TO 14N MOVE W 10 KT.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ WITHIN 120 NM 
E OF AXIS.  NO ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION IS OBSERVED.






..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS ALONG...5N76W 9N110W 10N130W 
8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF THE AXIS FROM 114W TO 122W.

...DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVELS...
RIDGE IS EXTENDING EASTWARD OVER THE AREA NORTH OF 27N.  LITTLE 
WEATHER IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND SKIES ARE CLEAR IN 
THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS.  IN THE LOWER LEVELS OVERCAST 
CLOUDS ARE NORTH OF 27N FROM 121W TO 130W.

TROUGH IS ALONG LINE 20N104W TO THE ITCZ NEAR 110W.  WEST OF 
THE TROUGH AND SOUTH OF 27N TO THE ITCZ THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 
LEVELS ARE OBSERVED TO BE DRY IMPLYING UPPER LEVEL SUBSIDENCE. 
THE SKIES ARE CLEAR IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS WITH BROKEN 
STRATOCUMULUS EAST OF A LINE FROM 27N140W TO 12N120W.  THE 
CLOUDS EXTEND EAST TO 115W.

EAST OF THE TROUGH THE AREA IS DIFLUENT ALOFT WITH MULTI LEVEL 
CLOUDS WITH AREAS OF EMBEDDED CONVECTION.  MODERATE 
NORTHEASTERLY TO EASTERLY SHEAR IS INHIBITING ANY DEVELOPMENT IN 
THIS AREA.

SURFACE...MODERATE RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 115W.  BROAD 
TROUGH IS ELSEWHERE.

A WEAK SURFACE LOW 11N100W 1009 MB. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 13.7N98.9W.  LITTLE 
ORGANIZATION TO THE CONVECTION IS PRESENT.
   
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LL