000
AXPZ20 KNHC 101515
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC SAT JUN 10 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 83W IS MOVING W AT 10 KT. SOME 
CYCLONIC TURNING OF MID CLOUDS NOTED. ISOLATED CONVECTION WITH 
NO ORGANIZATION. STRONG NE WINDS ALOFT OVER WAVE PRECLUDE ANY 
DEVELOPMENT. 
 
TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 97W HAS BEEN MOVING W AT 10 KT. 
A WEAK LOW CENTER NEAR 14N94W POSSIBLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE. 
ONLY PLACE WHERE CONVECTION PERSISTING..OTHERWISE SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION ELSEWHERE WITH NO ORGANIZATION. STRONG NE 
WINDS ALOFT OVER WAVE PRECLUDE ANY DEVELOPMENT.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 118W FROM 5N TO 14N IS MOVING W AT 15 KT. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION ALONG THE ITCZ. NO CYCLONIC 
TURNING OF CLOUDS NOTED. STRONG E AND NE WINDS ALOFT OVER WAVE. 

..ITCZ...
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS ALONG...7N78W 9N100W 
6N115W 8N125W 7N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 50 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N94W TO 9N101W.

...DISCUSSION...

UPPER LEVEL FEATURES...

UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS IS ALONG LINE 32N117W TO 19N140W.  
WITHIN 660 NM SE OF THE LINE AND 240 NM NE OF THE AXIS DRY AIR 
IS OBSERVED IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS IMPLYING UPPER LEVEL 
SUBSIDENCE.  THE AREA IS CLOUD FREE IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 
LEVELS WITH OVERCAST STRATOCUMULUS OVER THE ENTIRE AREA NORTH OF 
15N WEST OF 110W.

EAST OF 110W THE AREA IS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF NORTHEAST FLOW 
WHICH WILL INHIBIT ANY ORGANIZATION TO THE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION 
IN THIS AREA.  MULTI LEVEL BROKEN TO OVERCAST CLOUDS ARE WITHIN 
THIS AREA.

SURFACE...WEAK RIDGE IS NORTH OF 15N WEST OF 110W.  ELSEWHERE 
BROAD TROUGH IS OBSERVED.

$$
LL