000
AXPZ20 KNHC 082158
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU JUN 08 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2145 UTC.
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG N OF 3N ALONG 76W IS MOVING W AT 12 KT AND 
WILL MOVE OFF THE COLOMBIAN COAST IN A FEW HOURS ACCOMPANIED BY 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION.

TROPICAL WAVE N OF 3N ALONG 91W HAS BEEN MOVING W AT 10 KT. THE 
WAVE IS DIFFICULT TO IDENTITY AS IT MOVES THROUGH AN AREA OF LOW 
LEVEL SW FLOW. 

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 111W FROM 5N TO 14N IS MOVING W AT 10 
KT.CONVECTION IS SUPPRESSED.

..ITCZ...
THE INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS IS ALONG 12N86W 16N105W 
9N112W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM N 
OF THE AXIS AT 3N78W AND WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
14N93W 8N109W. 

ELSEWHERE...
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 15N106W.

...DISCUSSION...
A MID TO UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS S ALONG 32N120W 16N132W 
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF A CUT OFF CYCLONE DEVELOPING NEAR 
18N138W DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS NEAR 
9N143W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING E TO NEAR 14N127W. AN UPPER 
ANTICYCLONE IS NEAR 20N103W WITH A RIDGE SW TO 16N115W AND A 
RIDGE SE TO 14N78W. ASSOCIATED UPPER DIFFLUENCE IS ENHANCING THE 
ITCZ E OF 110W WITH SEVERAL LOW LEVEL CYCLONIC SWIRLS. THE 
RESULTANT DEBRIS MOISTURE IS SPREADING SW ACROSS THE EQUATOR TO 
THE E OF 121W. DRY UPPER AIR DOMINATES THE DISCUSSION AREA N OF 
12N W OF 110W. 

AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRES IS NEAR 34N135W 1024 MB WITH A RIDGE SE 
TO 18N110W. SCATTERED TO LOCALLY BROKEN STRATOCUMULUS IS 
OBSERVED N OF 14N W OF 114W.

$$
NELSON