000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061556
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC TUE JUN 06 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1445 UTC.
 
...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 82W FROM 2N TO 13N MOVING W 10 KT.  SCATTERED
CONVECTION W OF AXIS TO COAST OF COLOMBIA WITH NO PRESENT SIGNS 
OF ORGANIZATION.  UPPER ENVIRON NOT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS 
STRONG NE SHEAR REMAINS ALOFT AND EXPECTED TO REMAIN SO DURING 
NEXT 48 HRS.  

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W FROM 6N TO 14N MOVING W 10 KT.  MINOR 
ISOLATED CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM W OF WAVE PRESENT NO SIGNS OF 
ORGANIZATION AND UPPER ENVIRON REMAINS UNFAVORABLE FOR NEXT 48 
HRS.    

..ITCZ...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG...10N86W  10N111W  9N120W 
10N130W  7N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 360 NM OF AXIS E OF 114W.  SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 90 NM RADIUS OF 11N131W AND W OF 135W. 

...DISCUSSION...
WEAK MID/UPPER LEVEL LONGWAVE TROUGH FROM 32N132W TO 17N140W 
SHIFT NE AS STUBBORN ANTICYCLONIC CENTER AT 11N122W REFUSES TO 
MOVE AND RIDGE EXTENDS ALONG 123W TO 32N.  WEAK CYCLONIC VORTEX 
AT 28N116W HAS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIG SE TO 16N110W.  AIR MASS 
REMAINS FAIRLY DRY EXCEPT FOR N OF 23N W OF 120W.  DRY SWATH 
EXTENDS FROM 13N TO 23N W OF 105W. 

LARGE ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION WELL ANCHORED AT 20N100W HAS 
RIDGE EXTEND FROM 20N110W BEYOND COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA INTO 
CARIBBEAN BASIN.  NORTHERN FRINGES OF TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W 
TAKING ADVANTAGE OF DIFFLUENT PATTERN ALOFT TO BUILD SCATTERED 
DEEP CONVECTION NEAR ACAPULCO MEXICO...BUT REMAINDER OF WAVE IS 
UNDER STRONG NE FLOW ON SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF RIDGE KEEPING DEEP 
CONVECTION ISOLATED. 

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRES RIDGE 1022 MB CENTERED NW OF AREA 
16N110W MAINTAINING STRONG N FLOW AGAINST COASTS OF CALIFORNIA 
AND BAJA WITH LARGE 13 FT SWELLS SPREADING S TO 24N.  UNUSUALLY 
LARGE AREA OF MOIST WARM S TO SW CROSS EQUATORIAL WIND REMAINS S 
OF 13N E OF 110W FEEDING ITCZ.  ASSOCIATED LARGE SLY SWELLS E OF 
100W.

$$
WALLY BARNES