000
AXPZ20 KNHC 260321
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC FRI MAY 26 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0315 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 81W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 5.4N84.7W IS WELL WEST OF 
THE WAVE AXIS AND DECREASING IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W FROM 7N TO 14N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE 
IS DETACHED AND MOVING AWAY FROM A 1006 MB LOW WHICH IS CENTERED 
NEAR 11N100W.  CONVECTION NEAR THE LOW IS DECREASING AND THE 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE HAS INCREASED AND MOVED AWAY 
FROM THE LOW.

..ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...4N77W 11N100W 5N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE 
POINT 11N102.6W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 9.4N107.3W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 75 NM OF THE POINT 7N127.8W AND 
WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 8N135W.

...DISCUSSION...

BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS NORTH OF 25N EAST OF 130W. 
BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 20N105W TO 
7N140W.
ELSEWHERE BROAD THERE IS A BROAD RIDGE.

MOST OF THE AREA IS DRY IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS THE 
EXCEPTION BEING THE AREA NEAR THE ITCZ AND A 500 NM WIDE UPPER 
LEVEL PLUME OF MOISTURE FROM THE ITCZ AND THE TROPICAL WAVE NEAR 
102W AND EXTENDING NORTHEAST OVER EASTERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA 
AND BELIZE.  

LARGE SURFACE HIGH 1032 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 32N140W AND 
DOMINATES THE LOWER LEVEL FLOW NORTH OF THE ITCZ.  THE HIGH IS 
FORECAST TO BE STATIONARY AND WEAKEN. BROKEN TO OVERCAST 
STRATOCUMULUS IS OBSERVED NORTH OF THE ITCZ WEST OF 122W.

$$
LL