000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252119
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU MAY 25 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2115 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 80W N OF 3N MOVING W 10 KT.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N-6.5N BETWEEN 79W-85W IS DECREASING 
IN STRENGTH.

TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 102W FROM 6N TO 14N MOVING W 10 KT. THE WAVE 
IS DETACHED AND MOVING AWAY FROM A 1012 MB LOW NEAR WHICH IS 
CENTERED NEAR 11N99W. THERE APPEARS TO BE A SHARP APEX TO THE 
FLOW OFF THE MEXICAN COAST BENDING BACK TO ABOUT 16N100W. 
CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS DESCRIBED IN THE ITCZ 
SECTION.

...ITCZ...

ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG...6N77W 10N100W 5N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 
NM OF THE POINT 12.7N98W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 90 NM OF THE POINT 11N102.2W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 8.5N TO 10N 
FROM 103W TO 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG 
CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF THE POINT 9N112W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN 120 NM OF THE POINT 
6.8N133.2W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITH ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
IS FROM 4.5N TO 6.5N W OF 135W.

...DISCUSSION...

BROAD UPPER TROUGH IS NORTH OF 25N.
BROAD RIDGE IS BETWEEN 15N AND 25N.
BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW IS SOUTH OF 15N.

MOST OF THE AREA IS DRY IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER LEVELS THE 
EXCEPTION BEING THE AREA NEAR THE ITCZ.

LARGE SURFACE HIGH 1032 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 32N135W.  AND 
DOMINATES THE LOWER LEVEL FLOW NORTH OF THE ITCZ.  THE HIGH IS 
FORECAST TO BE STATIONARY AND WEAKEN. BROKEN TO OVERCAST 
STRATOCUMULUS IS OBSERVED NORTH OF THE ITCZ WEST OF 122W.

$$
LL