000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240951
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC WED MAY 24 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0900 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 96W TO THE S OF 14N AND HAS MOVED W AT 
8 KT THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE WAVE WAS LOCATED ACCURATELY AT 00Z 
BASED ON 2 SHIP REPORTS. THE WAVE IS EMBEDDED IN A BROAD AREA OF 
LOW PRES THAT COVERS THE AREA FROM ROUGHLY 3N TO 13N BETWEEN 
107W AND 90W. SEVERAL OTHER CYCLONIC SWIRLS ARE NOTED ON IMAGERY 
BUT SEEM TO BE EMBEDDED IN THE ITCZ. A CYCLONIC SWIRL NEAR 
11N92W BEARS WATCHING AS IT HAS THE POSSIBILITY OF PULLING N OF 
THE ITCZ IN A DAY OR SO. CURRENTLY THE CONVECTION DESCRIBED IN 
THE ITCZ PARAGRAPH.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS OVER COLOMBIA ALONG 73.5W AND HAS MOVED W AT 
12 KT THE PAST 24 HOURS. THIS WAVE SHOULD MOVE OFF THE COLOMBIAN 
COAST IN 24 HOURS.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG 8N77W 10N101W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 83W AND 127W.

...DISCUSSION...
A DEEP LAYERED STATIONARY CYCLONE IS N OF AREA NEAR 47N139W WITH 
A SHORTWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING SW TO THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS. A 
SURFACE FRONT IS DYING ALONG 32N135W 29N137W. AN UPPER 
ANTICYCLONE IS NEAR 15N117W WITH A RIDGE EXTENDING N TO BEYOND 
30N117W. ANOTHER EMBEDDED ANTICYCLONE IS NOTED NEAR 26N104W. 

UPPER DRY AIR IS NOTED N OF 22N EXCEPT FOR A MOISTURE PLUME 
GRADUALLY EVAPORATING WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 21N113W 
12N137W.

A CUT OFF CYCLONE IS FILLING OVER THE SW GULF OF MEXICO NEAR 
24N92W WITH AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDING S TO NEAR 16N98W. DRY 
UPPER AIR IS NOTED FROM 10N TO 22N BETWEEN 113W AND 92W MERGING 
WITH THE DRY AIR DESCRIBED ABOVE.

AN UPPER ANTICYCLONE IS OVER THE CARIBBEAN NEAR 17N82W. 
DEBRIS MOISTURE FROM ITCZ CONVECTION BETWEEN 83W AND 97W IS 
ADVECTED N ACROSS CENTRAL AMERICA THEN TURNS NE ACROSS THE 
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND FLORIDA.

$$
NELSON