000
AXPZ20 KNHC 162054
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC SUN APR 16 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1500 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS  4N77W 6N90W 4N100W 7N115W  5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG CONVECTION 120 NM WIDE FROM 117W TO 124W...AND 150 NM 
WIDE 133W TO 140W .

...DISCUSSION...
BROAD WEAK UPPER LEVEL RIDGING AND ANTICYCLONIC FLOW IS SEEN 
SOUTH OF 20N WEST OF ABOUT 115W. PLENTY OF MOISTURE SEEN ALONG 
THE ITCZ IS HELPING TO PRODUCE SCATTERED CONVECTION ALONG THE 
AXIS W OF ABOUT 115W.


A MID/UPPER ROUGH OVER THE AREA N OF 24N W OF 110W. 
A COLD FRONT IS APPROACHING THE NW PORTION OF THE .WINDS 
BRINGINGT NWLY SWELLS OF 8-12 FT. THE FRONT WILL DISSIPATE 
WITHIN 24 HOURS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THE 
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURES WILL RESULT IN 20-25 KT NWLY WINDS 
ALONG THE BAJA COAST BY LATE MON.
STRONG UPPER AIR IS ADVECTING AN AREA OF MOISTURE WITHIN 150 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 19N122W... EXTENDING NE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 25N112W TO OVER CENTRAL MEXICO AND 
SE TEXAS. NW OF THE JET MAINLY DRY AIR/SUBSIDENCE COVERS THE 
REGION.

$$

TORRES