000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060224
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0405 UTC THU APR 06 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0000 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY 
THROUGH 1500 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS 5N77W  7N86W  4N102W  6N120W  4N140W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF ENTIRE AXIS.

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS S TO 32N121W 20N130W.  STRONG 130 
KT JET STREAM IS ENHANCING DIFFLUENCE ALOFT IN COMBINATION WITH 
DOWNSTREAM UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS ALONG 102W. TROPICAL 
MOISTURE ENTERS WRN BORDER OF FORECAST WATERS WITH 70 KT JET 
CORE AND RUNS EXTENSIVELY ALONG SE EDGE OF TROUGH AXIS INTO 
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA AND SW CONUS CORNER.  PREVIOUS SURFACE 
TROUGH WHICH ENTERED SW CONUS COMBINED WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE 
AND UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ARE ALL INGREDIENTS NEEDED FOR 
SERIOUS PRECIPITATION EVENT...AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS 
DISCUSSIONS.  
AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRES CENTER WELL W OF AREA HAS HEALTHY 
RIDGE EXTEND TO 15N110W REINFORCING TRADES N OF 5N W OF 120W  
AND ADDING LARGE NW SWELLS REACHING OVER 15 FT.  GULFS OF 
PAPAGAYO AND PANAMA WINDS REMAIN MARGINAL WITH SEAS BELOW 8 FT. 

$$
WALLY BARNES