000
AXPZ20 KNHC 162141
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC THU MAR 16 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2045 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG AXIS AXIS 3N77W 5N88W 5N102W 3N110W 3N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
6N85W 6N92W AND WITHIN 120 NM OF 11N104W.

...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH ALONG 32N130W 12N123W TO 1N120W. DRY AIRR THEN 
DOMINATES THE TROPICS W OF THE UPPER TROUGH. A SHORTWAVE LIES 
ALONG 37N130W TO BEYOND 32N145W.
  
OTHERWISE DRY UPPER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE IS INDICATED S OF 18N E 
OF 108W WITH SCATTERED CONVECTION ENHANCED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 
5N88W.  THE RESULTANT DEBRIS MOISTURE IS EVAPORATING ROUGHLY IN 
THE SAME AREA.  

NLY WINDS 20-25 KT...INDICATED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS AS GRADIENT CONTINUES IN W 
CARIBBEAN. NLY WINDS 20 KT DETECTED BY QUICK SCAT IN GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC THIS MORNING WILL DECREASE LATER TODAY. MODELS 
INDICATE GRADIENT IN SW CARIBBEAN WILL SPILL SW INTO GULF OF 
PANAMA AND CONTINUE FOR 48 HOURS.

$$
FETN