000
AXPZ20 KNHC 161012
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1005 UTC THU MAR 16 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
0845 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS IS CENTERED ALONG ALONG 6N77W 5N90W 7N105W 3N125W 
5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 4N TO 6N BETWEEN 
85W AND 87W.

...DISCUSSION...
AT 0600 UTC A 1027 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER THE E PACIFIC NEAR 
27N129W.  A RIDGE EXTENDS SW TO S OF THE BAJA PENINSULA NEAR 
20N110W.  FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS.  LIGHT TRADES ARE FROM EQ-10N 
BETWEEN COLOMBIA AND 140W.  THE ITCZ MEANDERS IN THIS AREA WITH 
VERY LITTLE CLOUD SIGNATURE OR CONVECTION.  A 20-25 KT GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO WIND EVENT IS NOTED W OF COSTA RICA AND IS FORECAST TO 
PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A RIDGE IS 
N OF 10N AND W OF 130W.  A LONGWAVE TROUGH IS N OF 5N BETWEEN 
110W-130W.  ANOTHER RIDGE IS N OF 10N BETWEEN 90W-110W...OVER 
MOST OF CENTRAL AMERICA.  UPPER LEVEL WLY FLOW PREDOMINATES OVER 
THE REMAINDER OF THE TROPICS FROM 140W TO COLOMBIA.  EXPECT... 
8-11 FT NLY SWELL TO PUSH DOWN FROM THE SURFACE HIGH TO N OF 8N 
AND W OF 115W BY SATURDAY NIGHT.  THE GFS ALSO FORECASTS AN AREA 
OF CONVECTION IN THE TROPICS FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 115W-120W 
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.          

$$
FORMOSA