000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142210
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC TUE MAR 14 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2045 UTC.

...ITCZ...6N77W 4N90W 4N113W 5N123W 
4N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
4N865W. ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 122W. 


...DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS THROUGH32N127W TO A CYCLONE NEAR 20N130W.
BOTH ARE MOVING E ABOUT 20 KT. A BAND OF UPPER DRY AIR IS 
INDICATED W OF THE TROUGH WITHIN 250 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
24N142W 23N129W. UPPER DIFFLUENCE ALONG AND JUST S OF THE TROUGH 
BASE IS ENHANCING ISOLATED CONVECTION W OF 120W ALONG THE ITCZ.
AN UPPER MOISTURE PLUME ORIGINATING FROM CONVECTION NEAR 12N152W 
SPREADS E INTO THE DISCUSSION AREA WITHIN 360 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
LINE 12N144W 12N127W AND ANOTHER PLUME HAS MOVED N TO WITHIN 360 
NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 22N126W TO 29N114W...THEN NARROWS TO 
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 29N110W AND CONTINUES CYCLONICALLY NE 
ACROSS THE SE CONUS AND EVENTUALLY ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD OF 
CONUS. OTHERWISE DRY UPPER AIR AND SUBSIDENCE IS INDICATED SE OF 
LINE 10N127W 24N108W 30N80W WITH ONLY ISOLATED CONVECTION 
ENHANCED ALONG THE ITCZ NEAR 4N86W WITH THE RESULTANT DEBRIS 
MOISTURE EVAPORATING ROUGHLY IN THE SAME AREA.  
NLY WINDS 20-25 KT...INDICATED IN THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO AND 
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH 48 HOURS AS GRADIENT CONTINUES IN W 
CARIBBEAN. NLY WINDS EXPECTED TO INCREASE BRIEFLY TO 20 KT IN 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC ON WED THEN DECREASE WED NIGHT AS FLOW 
BECOMES SLY IN SW GULF OF MEXICO. 

$$
TORRES