000
AXPZ20 KNHC 102226
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2205 UTC FRI MAR 10 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1800 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
2145 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS MEANDERS FROM 7N78W  6N90W AND EQUATOR 101W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM OF AXIS FROM 85W TO 91W.

...DISCUSSION...
LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER WESTERN UNITED STATES DIG SW TO 32N118W 
ACROSS 22N140W TO CYCLONIC VOTERX AT 19N146W.  JET CORE WITH 120 
KT SWEEPS WITHIN 180 NM SE OF AXIS ADVECTING PLENTY OF MOISTURE 
INTO CENTRAL MEXICO AND NW GULF OF MEXICO.  WINDS 45-50 KT 
ASSOCIATED WITH JET CORE BRINGING MORE UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE 
ACROSS E PAC FROM N OF 6N140W TO 18N103W.  SURFACE WIND

FINALLY...MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUDGED AS LONGWAVE TROUGH 
FORCES IT TO MOVE E DISPLACING ITS DRY AIRMASS S OF 14N E OF 
120W AND MOST OF CARIBBEAN SEA.  

AT THE SURFACE...BROAD HIGH PRES RIDGE FROM 32N140W TO 15N107W 
KEEPS LID ON ANY DEEP CONVECTION UNDER ITS UMBRELLA.  BRISK 
TRADES COVER FROM 7N TO 23N W OF 120W WHILE STRONG WINDS ROLL 
DOWN ALONG W COAST INTO BAJA CALIFORNIA WATERS ADDING VERY LARGE 
SWELLS TO SEAS NEXT 24 HRS. 

STRONG WINDS LINGER IN GULF OF PAPAGAYO THROUGH NEXT 48 HRS. 

$$
WALLY BARNES