000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081616
TWDEP 

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1605 UTC WED MAR 08 2006

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN FROM 
THE EQUATOR TO 32N...EAST OF 140W. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS 
BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...RADAR...AND 
METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH 
1445 UTC.

...ITCZ...
ITCZ AXIS ALONG 2N79W  4N94W  1N126W  1N140W.  SCATTERED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS FROM 92W TO 98W.

...DISCUSSION...
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 32N115W THROUGH 23N140W WITH 
VERY DRY AIR MASS WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS.  WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW 
EXTEND SE TO EQUATOR AT 126W WITH WEAK 85 KT JET CORE ROTATING 
AT BASE OF TROUGH AND ADVECTING LARGE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AT 
UPPER LEVELS INTO FORECAST AREA W OF 110W.  BROAD WELL ANCHORED 
ANTICYCLONIC CENTER AT 6N95W DIVERT MOISTURE SWATH NE INTO BAJA 
CALIFORNIA AND NW MEXICO WHILE MAINTAINING MODERATE TO STRONG 
SUBSIDENCE E OF 110W.  ONLY EXCEPTION BEING MINOR CONVECTION S 
OF ANTICYCLONE DUE TO SOME MOISTURE THAT CAME OUT OF COLOMBIA.  
UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS N INTO SE TEXAS BRINGING DRYNESS INTO MOST 
OF GULF OF MEXICO AND ENTIRE CARIBBEAN. 
 
AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRES NW OF AREA MAINTAINS CONSTANT FLOW OF 
BRISK TRADES ACROSS E PAC STARTING FROM BAJA CALIFORNIA COAST 
THROUGH 140W.  

GAP WINDS...STRONG WINDS IN BOTH GULFS OF PAPAGAYO AND PANAMA 
ARE BOUND TO DECREASE WITHIN NEXT 30 HRS AS PER GFS SOLUTION.  

$$
WALLY BARNES