000 AXNT20 KNHC 292103 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0005 UTC Tue May 30 2023 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2100 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 18W, from 11N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 10N between 15W and 20W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 32W, from 12N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 30W and 35W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 44W, from 11N southward, moving westward 10 knots. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11N between 42W and 45W. An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave has its axis near 57W, from 11N southward, moving westward 10 knots. There is no significant convection noted over waters, but scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted over land within 60 nm of the wave axis S of 07N. A Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis near 70W, from 13N southward, moving westward 10 knots. There is no significant convection noted over waters, but scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted over land within 60 nm of the wave axis S of 10N. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W to 06N23W. The ITCZ continues from 06N23W to 04N30W. It resumes from 04N32W to 04N42W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section above, scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 09N between 22W and 30W. ...GULF OF MEXICO... High pressure prevails across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1016 mb high pressure center near 29N88W. Light to gentle winds prevail across the area, with seas in the 1-2 ft range. For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will support gentle to moderate winds and slight seas across the basin through the end of the week, with occasional fresh pulses along the W coast of Yucatan. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... Moderate to locally fresh winds are noted S of 15N to the coast of South America. Gentle to moderate winds are noted elsewhere E of 80W, with light to gentle winds over the western Caribbean. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range S of 15N between 65W and 78W, 2-4 ft elsewhere E of 80W, and 1-2 ft W of 80W. For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will maintain gentle to moderate trades across the Caribbean and the tropical N Atlantic through the end of week, with occasional fresh pulses along the N coast of Venezuela and Colombia. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... A stationary front extends from 31N72W to northern Florida. High pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, are noted from 15N to 20N E of 23W to the coast of Africa. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, are elsewhere S of 21N. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, are also found N of 29N between 30W and 40W, with moderate winds N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 2-4 ft, generally prevail elsewhere. For the forecast W of 55W, a weak pressure pattern will result in quiescent conditions through Fri. A broad area of low pres may form north of the Bahamas on Fri with increasing winds and building seas over the waters east of the Bahamas on Sat. $$ AL