000
AXNT20 KNHC 230930
TWDAT 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1205 UTC Thu Jun 23 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 
0930 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 25W from 15N southward, 
moving westward at 10 to 15 knots. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 03N to 10N between 20W and 27W. 

The axis of a tropical wave is near 76W from 18N southward, 
moving westward at 10 to 15 knots. Isolated showers are noted
within 30 nm of the wave axis south of 11N. 

...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W to
06N24W. The ITCZ extends from 07N27W to 04N50W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 14W
and 19W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N
between 30W and 45W. 

GULF OF MEXICO...

High pressure of 1018 mb is centered over the NW Gulf near 28N92W.
A surface trough extends from the Florida panhandle to near
27N86W. Light to gentle winds prevail over the northern Gulf with
gentle to moderate winds over the southern Gulf. Seas are in the
3-4 ft range over the southern Gulf and 1-3 ft over the northern
Gulf. 

For the forecast, a surface ridge will dominate the Gulf waters
through the weekend, supporting mainly gentle to moderate winds
and slight to moderate seas.

CARIBBEAN SEA...

Fresh to locally strong winds prevail over the south central
Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds are over the north central and
eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds prevail over the western
Caribbean. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range over the south central
Caribbean, and 2-4 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong E winds will prevail 
over the south- central Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, 
mainly moderate trades will dominate.

ATLANTIC OCEAN...

A gale force low is moving over the western Atlantic north of the
area. Fresh to strong winds in association to this low are
impacting the waters north of 30N and west of 73W. A surface
trough extends from near 28N69W to the southern Bahamas. Scattered
moderate convection is noted east of the trough axis north of 24N.
Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the trough. Moderate
to fresh winds prevail elsewhere north of 20N, with gentle to
moderate winds over the waters south of 20N. Seas are in the 3-5
ft range north of 20N and west of 55W, and 5-7 ft north of 20N and
east of 55W. South of 20N, seas of 4-6 ft are noted. 

For the forecast W of 65W, a trough over the eastern Bahamas will
dissipate into Fri. Fresh to strong SW winds over the NW waters 
will continue through tonight as low pressure moves north of the 
area.

$$
AL