000 AXNT20 KNHC 220552 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0605 UTC Fri Apr 22 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0530 UTC. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, to 10N16W, and to 03N18W. The ITCZ continues from 03N18W, to the Equator along 20W, to 02S27W and 03S36W. Precipitation: scattered to numerous strong is within 180 nm of the coast of South America between 47W and 55W. Isolated moderate to locally strong covers the remainder of the area that is from 10N southward from 60W eastward. GULF OF MEXICO... A surface ridge passes through the Florida Panhandle, into the western one-third of the Gulf of Mexico, to Mexico near 19N96W. Surface anticyclonic wind flow spans the Gulf of Mexico. Precipitation: scattered moderate to strong is inland in Mexico from 20N to 23N between 98W and 100W. Isolated moderate is in the western half of the Yucatan Peninsula. Fresh to strong NE and E winds are from 18N to 29N between 77W and 86W, covering parts of the Atlantic Ocean and Florida, in the northwestern part of the Caribbean Sea, and in the eastern one-third of the Gulf of Mexico. Fresh NE-to-E winds are from 24N southward between 92W and 94W, in the SW corner of the Gulf of Mexico. Fresh to moderate anticyclonic winds span the remainder of the area. The wave heights range from 6 feet to 7 feet in the central Gulf of Mexico, and from 3 feet to 6 feet elsewhere. Smoke and haze, mainly due to agricultural fires, have been reducing the visibilities in the Bay of Campeche, and along the coast of Mexico between Veracruz and Tampico. High pressure extending from north of the region will support fresh to strong E-NE winds over the eastern and south central Gulf tonight through Sat night, including the Straits of Florida and areas near the north and west coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula. The strongest winds should occur tonight and Fri night. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds will prevail elsewhere. Hazy conditions are possible in the western and central Gulf due to smoke from agricultural fires in Mexico. CARIBBEAN SEA... One NE-to-SW surface trough is along 21N73W, to Haiti, to 17N74W 13N75W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is in Haiti, and in the Windward Passage. A second surface trough is along 13N80W 12N77W, to the coast of Colombia along 75W. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 14N southward from 70W westward. Precipitation: isolated moderate covers the remainder of the Caribbean Sea. Gentle wind speeds and slower are near the second surface trough. Fresh to strong NE and E winds are from 18N to 29N between 77W and 86W, covering parts of the Atlantic Ocean and Florida, in the northwestern part of the Caribbean Sea, and in the eastern one-third of the Gulf of Mexico. Moderate to fresh wind speeds are in the remainder of the Caribbean Sea. The wave heights range from 7 feet to 8 feet in the Yucatan Channel. Precipitation: isolated moderate in the Yucatan Channel. The wave heights range from 3 feet to 6 feet elsewhere. A strong high pressure located north of the region will support fresh to locally strong ENE winds across the NW Caribbean, with pulses of primarily strong ENE winds south of Cuba and in the Windward Passage during the evening hours tonight through early this weekend. Afterward, high pressure over the SE U.S. should sustain moderate to fresh easterly winds Sun through early next week. ATLANTIC OCEAN... A stationary front is along 31N62W to 27N70W, to Andros Island in the Bahamas. Strong NE winds are within 150 nm to the south of the stationary front between 72W and 76W. Mostly fresh to some strong winds are elsewhere from Cuba northward from 70W westward. Strong NE winds are elsewhere on the northern side of the stationary front. The wave heights range from 7 feet to 11 feet from 24N in the Bahamas northward from 70W westward. Fresh to strong NE and E winds are from 18N to 29N between 77W and 86W, covering parts of the Atlantic Ocean and Florida, in the northwestern part of the Caribbean Sea, and in the eastern one-third of the Gulf of Mexico. Precipitation: isolated moderate to locally strong is from 20N northward between 50W and 70W. A 1015 mb low pressure center is near 26N45W. A surface trough curves away from the 1015 mb low pressure center, to: 29N40W 26N38W 23N40W 19N51W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is from 23N to 30N between 32W and 42W. Rainshowers are possible, elsewhere, from 20N northward between 30W and 50W, and within 100 nm on either side of the rest of the surface trough. The wave heights range from 10 feet to 13 feet within 330 nm to the north-northwest of the 1015 mb low pressure center. The wave heights range from 7 feet to 10 feet, to the north of the line 23N50W 23N45W 31N30W. The wave heights range from 7 feet to 8 feet within 180 nm of the coast of Africa from 19N to 24N. Fresh northerly winds are within 275 nm of the coast of Africa from 17N to 23N; and within 150 nm of the coast of Africa from 12N to 15N. The wave heights range from 8 feet to 9 feet between the Canary Islands and Africa. Strong northerly winds are within 90 nm of the coast of Africa from 30N to 32N. The wave heights range from 4 feet to 7 feet in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean. Strong winds are within 380 nm of the 1015 mb low pressure center in the NW quadrant. Fresh NE winds are from 05N to 12N between 35W and 44W; and from 15N northward from 50W westward. A stationary front extends from 31N63W to 24N77W. It is expected to dissipate on Fri as it retreats slowly northward. High pressure located off New England will sustain fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas to the west of a line from Bermuda to the central Bahamas through early this weekend, including the Straits of Florida. Winds and seas will diminish this Sun into early next week. A cold front is expected to enter the NE waters between 55W-65W on Sun, and extend from 27N55W to 31N66W by early Mon. Strong to near gale force NW winds are likely to the north of the front, along with building seas to the east of 65W. $$ mt