000 AXNT20 KNHC 141951 AAA TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1805 UTC Fri Jan 14 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1530 UTC. Updated due to technical issues earlier ...SPECIAL FEATURES... .Atlantic Gale Warnings: A cold front is along 31N63W 26N66W 20N71W. A surface trough continues from 20N71W, across Haiti to 17N76W in the Caribbean Sea. A secondary cold front associated with a low pressure E of the Carolina coast will merge with the aforementioned cold front and sustain gale conditions through this evening. Another cold front is anticipated to exit the SE U.S. coast into the Atlantic waters on Sun. Near-gale to gale winds are going to develop behind this front, just offshore from the N Florida/Georgia coast by Sun morning. .Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning: A strong cold front is anticipated to enter the NW Gulf on Sun and then move southeastward through Sun evening. Strong to near gale force winds with very rough seas behind it will impact the Gulf by Sun morning. Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on all three warnings. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... A monsoon trough extends from the coast of Guinea to near 03N18W, then an ITCZ continues through 04N33W to E of the French Guiana- Brazil border at 05N48W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 180 nm either side of the monsoon trough/ITCZ. ...GULF OF MEXICO... Please see the Special Features section above for details on a Gale Warning. A 1019 mb high over the S central Gulf continues to dominate much of the Gulf. Light to gentle winds with seas at 2 to 3 ft are found across the W Gulf, while gentle to moderate northerly winds and seas of 3 to 4 ft dominate the E Gulf. For the forecast, moderate NW winds over the E Gulf along with light to gentle anticyclonic winds over the W Gulf will continue through this afternoon. Fresh southerly winds are forecast to begin tonight across the W half of the basin ahead of a strong cold front forecast to enter the Gulf region by Sat morning. The front will exit the E Gulf Sun afternoon. Strong to near-gale force NW to N winds will follow the front, with gale-force winds expected along the E Mexico offshore waters, Sat and Sat night. Gale force winds are also forecast for the N Gulf, from Texas to Florida, Sat through early Sun. The front will move E of the area early Sun afternoon. ...CARIBBEAN SEA... A surface trough extends southwestward from the W Atlantic across E Cuba to the coast of Belize. Another surface trough seen over Haiti and nearby Caribbean waters. These features are triggering scattered showers from Haiti westward across Jamaica to the Bay of Honduras. Otherwise, a neutral area between the Atlantic ridge NE of the Lesser Antilles and a high over the S Gulf of Mexico is promoting gentle winds and seas of 2 to 3 ft over the central Caribbean Sea. Moderate southerly winds are noted for the E basin, while moderate northerly winds are present over the W basin; seas are ranging from 3 to 4 ft in both areas. For the forecast, moderate NW winds in the NW Caribbean will diminish this evening. Moderate with locally fresh winds in the S central Caribbean will increase to locally strong at night along Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela this weekend into next week. Gentle to moderate trade winds currently elsewhere in the eastern and central Caribbean will increase to moderate to fresh Sat night and prevail through Tue night. Otherwise, a cold front is forecast to enter the NW Caribbean on Sun morning followed by fresh to locally strong NW winds and building seas. The front will extend from central Cuba to NE Honduras by Mon morning where it will start to weaken before dissipating Mon night. ...ATLANTIC OCEAN... Please see the Special Features section above for details on Gale Warnings. A surface trough extends southwestward from SW of Bermuda at 30N73W across the central Bahamas to E Cuba. Scattered showers are occurring near and up to 120 nm SE of this feature, including the SE Bahamas and E Cuba. A cold front curves southwestward from NE of Bermuda across 31N63W to N Hispaniola. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident near and up to 200 nm SE of the front. Another cold front stretches southwestward from SW of the Azores across 31N40W to 29N49W, then turns northeastward as a warm front to beyond 31N55W. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are seen N of 28N between 40W and 55W. A third cold front curves southwestward from a 1012 mb low E of the Canary Islands at 30N25W to 20N30W, then turns westward to 22N39W. Scattered moderate convection is found near the low and front N of 26N between 19W and 23W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin. Outside the Gale Warning area N of 20N, fresh to strong with locally near-gale southerly winds and seas at 9 to 13 ft are evident between 50W and 60W. Farther E, the Atlantic ridge is supporting gentle to moderate winds and seas of 7 to 10 ft N of 20N between 28W and 50W. Near the Canary Islands, fresh to strong southerly winds related to the low and cold front are present N of 23N between the Sahara/S Morocco coast and 28W. Gentle to moderate NE to ENE trades and seas of 5 to 7 ft are dominate from the Equator to 20N between 27W and the Lesser Antilles. Light to gentle winds with seas at 4 to 5 ft prevail for the rest of the basin. For the forecast west of 65W, gale force S to SW winds are ongoing E of the W Atlantic cold front, north of 27N. Gale force W to NW winds are also occurring near the surface trough, N of 28N. Near gale to gale force winds and building seas across the waters N of 27N will continue through this evening and diminish early Sat as the front and trough move northeastward. Marine conditions will briefly improve for the NW waters on Sat ahead of a cold front forecast to emerge off the coast of Florida on Sun morning. Strong S winds will start affecting the NW offshore waters Sat night, rapidly increasing to gale force early Sun morning. Near-gale to gale force winds will affect the waters N of 27N through Mon morning. $$ Chan