841 AXNT20 KNHC 082305 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0005 UTC Fri Jan 8 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2210 UTC. ...ATLC GALE WARNING... METEO FRANCE continues to forecast gale-force winds over the areas of MADEIRA and AGADIR. These conditions are expected through this afternoon. Please, refer to the following website, http://www.gmdss.org/bulletins/METAREA2.HIGH_SEAS_WARNING.2106.05 21060465121.html, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 09N14W to 05N23W. The ITCZ continues from 05N23W to 02N40W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 120 nm either side of the monsoon trough, and within 180 nm N and 120 nm S of the ITCZ. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front has moved SE this afternoon across western Cuba and the Straits of Florida and cleared the basin. Surface ridging continues to build across the basin, with strong NW winds and seas to 8 ft across NE portions, and moderate to fresh N to NNW winds elsewhere east of 94W. High pressure will continue building over the Gulf through Sat with winds and seas slowly diminishing overnight. The next cold front will push off the Texas coast Sun night and bring strong NW winds across the western and central Gulf on Mon. Gale-force winds are possible near Veracruz on Mon. The front will extend from northern Florida to the Yucatan peninsula on Tue and will exit the basin by Tue night. CARIBBEAN SEA... The southern extend of the cold front clearing the Gulf of Mexico extends from the NW Bahamas across W central Cuba to the interior Gulf of Honduras. Scattered showers continue along and ahead of the front with isolated thunderstorms across the outer Gulf of Honduras. The monsoon trough extends Panama and Costa Rica and into the eastern Pacific. Widely scattered showers are near the trough axis. Fresh NW to N winds prevail behind the cold front, where seas area 4-5 ft, while gentle to moderate easterly winds prevail elsewhere. The front will continue to push southeast tonight then stall across the NW Caribbean by Saturday and linger in the region through Mon. Fresh trade winds will prevail across the basin through the weekend, with nightly pulses of strong winds expected off the Colombia coast. Expect strong trade winds across the central and eastern Caribbean on Mon and Tue, with near gale-force winds north of Colombia on Mon night. The next cold front will approach the NW Caribbean by Tue night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Please refer to the section above for information on the Meteo France Gale Warning. A cold front extends across the western Atlantic from 1004 mb low pressure off the coast of the Carolinas through 31N74W through the NW Bahamas to the N coast of Cuba near 23N80W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along and within 180 nm east of the front. To the east, a surface trough extends across the central Atlantic from 31N42W to 23N55W. Scattered showers are noted along the trough. Surface ridging prevails across the remainder of the basin. The front will extend from 31N73W to central Cuba tonight, and from 31N63W to the Windward Passage by Sat evening. Strong winds and large seas in north swell are expected north of 26N on both sides of the front through Sat night. Another cold front will move off the Florida coast by Tue. $$ Stripling