000 AXNT20 KNHC 081822 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1805 UTC Fri Jan 8 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 32N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1715 UTC. ...ATLC GALE WARNING... METEO FRANCE forecast continues to have gale-force winds over the areas of MADEIRA and AGADIR. These conditions are expected through this afternoon. Please, refer to the following website, http://www.gmdss.org/bulletins/METAREA2.HIGH_SEAS_WARNING.2106.05 21060465121.html, for more details. ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough extends from 09N14W to 07N18W. The ITCZ continues from 07N18W to 05N53W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 150 nm on either sides of the ITCZ. GULF OF MEXICO... A cold front extends across the southeastern portion of the basin with scattered showers. Surface ridging continues to build in the wake of this front across the remainder of the basin. Scatterometer data depicts moderate to fresh northerly winds across the basin. The front will continue moving east exiting the area today. High pressure will continue building over the Gulf through Sat. The next cold front will push off the Texas coast Sun night and bring strong NW winds across the western and central Gulf on Mon. Gale-force winds are possible near Veracruz on Mon. The front will extend from northern Florida to the Yucatan peninsula on Tue and will exit the basin by Tue night. CARIBBEAN SEA... The southern extend of a cold front has entered the western Caribbean with scattered showers. The monsoon trough extends from northern Colombia near 11N73W, across southern sections of Panama, and into the eastern Pacific. Scattered showers are near the trough axis. Scatterometer data depicts light and variable winds in the vicinity of the front, while gentle to moderate easterly winds prevail elsewhere. The front will continue to push south and east then stall across the NW Caribbean by Saturday and linger in the region through Mon. Fresh trade winds will prevail across the basin through the weekend, with nightly pulses of strong winds expected off the Colombia coast. Expect strong trade winds across the central and eastern Caribbean on Mon and Tue, with near gale-force winds north of Colombia on Mon night. The next cold front will approach the NW Caribbean by Tue night. ATLANTIC OCEAN... Please refer to the section above for details on the Meteo France Gale Warning. A cold front extends across the western Atlantic from 31N78W to 26N80W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along and east of the front. To the east, a surface trough extends across the central Atlantic from 31N45W to 24N60W. Scattered showers are noted along the trough. Another surface trough is analyzed from 32N11W to 24N20W. Surface ridging prevails across the remainder of the basin. The front will extend from 31N73W to central Cuba tonight, and from 31N63W to the Windward Passage by Sat evening. Strong winds and large seas are expected north of 26N on both sides of the front through Sat night. Another cold front will move off the Florida coast by Tue. $$ ERA